An Update On What Polls And Prediction Markets Are Saying About The Seven Key Swing States This Election Season – WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, AZ, and NV.
As I have written about previously, President Trump appears to be in a very strong position heading into this November’s election. Real Clear Politics’ national aggregate has the 45th President behind Kamala Harris by a diminutive 0.2 percentage points – a reduction from 0.6 points just a few days ago (with internal polling reportedly showing even better results). The last four national polls, capped off by Wall Street Journal’s survey released on October 24th, has President Trump outright leading nationally by a significant 3 points — with surging approval ratings to boot.
To put matters into a perspective, Kamala’s microscopic 0.2-point lead represents a +7.9% pro-Trump shift relative to 2020 (where, at this same juncture, Biden led by 8.1 points) – and a +5.3% pro-Trump swing from 2016 (where Clinton, at this time, led in the polls by 5.5 points). If there is any validity to these polls – and, of course, that is a big ‘if’ in consideration of Leftist election tampering, which is actively in the works (more on that below) – then President Trump looks poised to not only win a significant electoral college victory come November (in the neighborhood of 305+ electoral votes), but also a popular vote victory too – equipping him with a much-deserved political mandate to implement his legislative agenda (likely buoyed with the benefit of having both houses of Congress under Republican control), such as mass deportations and tax cuts.
Things look even better for President Trump when honing in on the battleground states, where the 45th President has a +0.9% aggregate advantage over his opponent. This advantage includes leads, ranging from +0.2% (Wisconsin and Michigan) all the way to +2.2% (Georgia) in every single one of the seven designated swing states (WI, MI, PA, NC, GA, AZ, and NV), a sum total of 103 electoral votes, this election cycle. Donald Trump would only need to pick off 3 or 4 of these states to win the election outright – a clean sweep would hand him well over 300 electoral votes, likely eclipsing his 2016 electoral college landslide victory over Hillary Clinton (304), catapulting him to the White House with a victory that would knock the wind out of any attempts at law-fare or election tampering by the Democrats in retaliation.
This explains the principle of “too big to rig,” which is a strategy of infiltrating with registrations and early voting – in addition to inundating at-risk counties like Philadelphia County in Pennsylvania, and Maricopa County in Arizona – with on-the-ground support, to ensure, as best feasible, a rigorous vote monitoring process – so that Democrats do not pull off a second successful cheat, which would render any future prospects of having a fair national election ever again impossible. The stakes of this election cycle are so high because it is truly our last chance as a nation to set things straight and restore integrity and legitimacy to our election process – and the rule of law, generally speaking. If not, we are foredoomed to go the way of banana republic-like incivility and barbarism, where justice is replaced by brute power, and the rule of law succumbs to the baser appetites of petty and incompetent tyrants.