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The 2026 Election: The Numbers Just Don’t Add Up

by Vince Coyner

For 66 years, midterm turnout followed a recognizable pattern. 2026 broke that pattern so dramatically that Americans deserve answers.

A few days ago I wrote about why I thought the Republicans lost on Tuesday. I stated that it was because they basically shivved their voters. I stand by that. They betrayed them in pretty much every way possible, and frankly deserved to lose.

But in good political form, I always reserve the right to revise and extend my remarks…and I’m doing that now. I no longer think the Republicans actually lost. I think they and America have been the victims of another coup, exactly as happened in 2020; the only difference is that this time Trump was not at the top of the ticket.

If you’re not sure about 2020, pick up Mollie Hemingway’s Rigged: How the Media, Big Tech, and the Democrats Seized Our Elections. It’s pretty much all there. Recognize that the odds of Biden losing 18 of 19 bellwether counties and losing Florida, Ohio, and Iowa while winning only 538 counties and still winning are somewhere past the odds of winning the lottery, despite the media telling us that it’s totally normal.

But the difference between 2020 and 2026 is that in 2020 we heard Democrats, who had for years before been telling anyone who would listen that our voting system was broken, tell us that 2020 was suddenly the “most secure election in history” and that questioning the outcome made one an “election denier” and a crazy person.

In 2026, however, we’ve had almost six years to figure out how to recognize the fraud and do it much faster than in 2020. And most importantly, in 2026 we have a platform to disseminate the information

Some of the data that we’re seeing simply doesn’t add up. Kevin Bass and others have started looking into the numbers…and they just don’t seem kosher:

Yes Republicans showed up They did about average historically Democrats got an unprecedented number of midterm votes https://t.co/cmcEMfiLBc

— Kevin Bass (@kevinnbass) November 6, 2026

I had Gemini take the information in Bass’s chart and apply the same analysis to midterm turnout going back to 1960. To show the difference between presidential years and midterms, I had it look at turnout in both types of elections.

The data is simply staggering. Over the last 66 years, the average decline for Democrats in midterm elections from the prior presidential election was 22.8%, while for Republicans it was 23.1%.

However, the 2018 midterms were different. While GOP turnout declined by 19.3% from the presidential election, consistent with previous patterns, the Democrat decline from 2016 was only 1.8%, which stands out as anomalous.

In 2026, if the numbers hold, the GOP will again hew to this 66-year pattern, with turnout 25.5% lower than in 2024. Meanwhile, the Democrat turnout in the midterm will be a mere .6% lower than in 2024.

So basically, Republicans voted normally in 2018 and 2016 while Democrats turned out in numbers literally never seen before, and it’s not even close.

That simply doesn’t hold water. Sure, Democrats hate Trump, but they hated Nixon even more. Nevertheless, in 1970, with Vietnam raging and the Weather Underground leftists carrying out bombings from Berkeley to New York to Chicago, the Democrat decline in turnout from 1968 was 18%.

Our clown vice president said that the 2026 election results were the Iran war that caused this political bloodbath. However, Vietnam was an actual bloodbath, and young people were being drafted, and Democrats still didn’t show up in the numbers we’re told happened on Tuesday. This time around, where were the millions of Americans in the streets calling for the end of the war—you know, the ones unaffected by a draft, daily casualty counts, and thousands of body bags shown on the nightly news?

They weren’t there because, while Americans may not like the higher gas prices, the reality is they aren’t picking up the pitchforks. But that kind of passionate, take-to-the-streets response is exactly what we would (and should) expect if we are to believe the numbers we see coming out of Texas and elsewhere.

full story at https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2026/11/the-2026-election-the-numbers-just-don-t-add-up/

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