Naturally, in the most negative way possible, our forever-fake news media is spinning the results from Gallup’s fresh polling of President Trump’s job approval numbers in all 50 individual states. But a dispassionate look at the numbers shows remarkable resiliency in Trump’s support, most especially in the states he will need to win re-election.
There are three key pieces of context required to fully understand just how good these numbers mostly are for Trump. 1) For 18 months on the whole, and for every day of his six months as president, Trump has been mercilessly pounded by billions and billions of dollars in corporate propaganda that flows through the news media, Hollywood, academia, Silicon Valley, and various activist groups. 2) Gallup polled “all adults” as opposed to “registered” or “likely voters.” 3) Our utterly useless and completely corrupt Republican Party is obstructing Trump’s agenda.
The second point is key. For example, as of yesterday, in its rolling poll of “all adults,” Gallup shows Trump’s national job approval rating at an anemic 37%. Rasmussen (the most accurate pollster of 2016), however, screens for “likely voters” and shows Trump’s approval rating a full +6 points higher at 43%, a phenomenon that has been fairly consistent from day one. Still, it should be said that 43% is not great.
Popularity is one thing. Fine. Whatever. Political power, however, is everything and that is why the only polls anyone should care about are the polls of actual voters, for these polls are the best guide to predicting who will hold political power. Moreover, as you will see below (and have already seen with the outcome of the 2016 election), in a country that chooses its president via the electoral college, national polling is thisclose to meaningless.
In other words, while looking at Gallup’s state-by-state results, if you want to know where Trump truly stands on the all-important issue of a possible second term, it is not unreasonable to add 4-7 points in his favor to each of these numbers.
With that in mind, here they are…
In 17 states, Trump’s job approval remains at or above 50%:
West Virginia -60
North Dakota – 59
South Dakota – 57
Montana – 56
Wyoming – 56
Alabama – 55
Oklahoma – 54
Kansas -53
Kentucky – 53
Arkansas – 53
Idaho – 53
Nebraska – 52
Tennessee – 52
Louisiana – 51
Alaska – 51
South Carolina – 50
Utah – 50
In 16 states, Trump is polling above 40%, or above his current national average according to Gallup, this includes three states Trump lost in 2016 – Nevada, New Hampshire and Maine:
Missouri – 49
Mississippi – 48
Ohio – 47
Indiana – 47
New Hampshire – 45
Iowa – 45
Nevada – 44
Pennsylvania – 43
Wisconsin – 43
Georgia – 43
Arizona – 43
Maine – 42
Michigan – 42
North Carolina – 42
Florida – 42
Texas – 42
Granted, some of this looks a little screwy. Is Trump really polling even or better in states he lost than in those he won easily, like Georgia and Texas?
If that is the case, Democrats and their media should be very, very worried.
Trump, however, should worry about Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, three states that handed him the presidency by less than a total of 100,000 votes. Even if you generously add 6 points to the score, he is still underwater.
Nevertheless, the overall good news is that Trump is doing much better than the media would have you believe in the only polls that count — polls of the individual states that will decide the electoral college. And if Trump is able to chalk up a few more Rustbelt Foxconns, and if the grifters we call congressional Republicans actually enact some legislation, Trump’s numbers will only go up — and do so no matter how much our lying media pushes their silly Russian conspiracy theory.
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http://www.dailywire.com/news/19056/state-state-polling-mostly-good-news-trumps-re-john-nolte