in World News Early Vote Counts Contradict Some Swing State Polls
by John Nolte
In a number of swing states that will decide the presidential election, there’s now been enough early voting to give us a feel for who is turning out, and it doesn’t quite match the polling.
Here’s what we do know…
We know how many people requested mail-in ballots and what percentage of those requests came from Republicans, Democrats, and unaffiliated.
We know how many early votes have been counted and what percentage of those votes come from Republicans, Democrats, and unaffiliated.
We know that the conventional wisdom is that Democrats win the early voting and Republicans win Election Day voting. In other words, Democrats need to build a sizable early vote lead to beat the GOP on Election Day because Republicans prefer to vote in-person on Election Day.
What’s more, Democrats have been placing more emphasis on early voting this year than ever before. I’m not sure how wise that is, considering mail-in ballots are rejected at a much higher rate than in-person, but that’s the Democrat 2020 game plan.
Here’s what we don’t know…
We don’t know who specifically any of these people voted for. What I mean is, we don’t know who the unaffiliateds are voting for. We don’t know how many Democrats voted for Trump or how many Republicans voted for Biden.
With all those caveats in mind, let’s start with Texas.
According to the RealClearPolitics poll of polls, Trump is only up by 2.6 points in a state he won by nine points in 2016. Quinnipiac has the race all tied up at 47 percent. A Dallas Morning News poll released just today actually has Trump losing to Biden, 45 to 48 percent.
full story at https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/10/25/nolte-early-vote-counts-contradict-some-swing-state-polls/