The Key Reason Democrats Stop at Nothing to Block Deportations
“[Democrats’] ability to continue winning elections is at stake without them [illegal aliens] and they’ll burn down the country to keep them here.”
In a recent interview with Fox News, former ICE Acting Director Jonathan Fahey said that “Democrats fight each deportation as if it’s a Democratic vote.” Rarely have truer words been uttered.
The American Redistricting Project, a nonprofit group focused on “constitutional redistricting, and election transparency,” published its 2030 Apportionment Forecast on Tuesday — and what it revealed was remarkable.
Based on the Census Bureau’s July 1, 2025, population estimate — released Tuesday morning — the ARP apportionment map shows California losing four congressional seats. Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin would each lose one seat, for a total of 11 seats lost among blue states.
Meanwhile, the map shows red and purple states gaining those same 11 seats. Texas would pick up four new districts, Florida would gain two, and Arizona, Georgia, Idaho, North Carolina, and Utah would each gain one.
[Methodology: ARP applied a three-year weighted average growth rate to the July 1, 2025, population estimates to produce the forecast.]
Independent journalist Greg Price attached the ARP map to a post on X and noted:
Under this forecast, President Trump would have won the 2024 Electoral College 322-216. And even if Kamala had won PA, WI, and MI — President Trump still would have won 280-258.
This [is] the one and only reason Democrats are fighting so hard to stop illegals from being deported.
Their ability to continue winning elections is at stake without them and they’ll burn down the country to keep them here.
An ARP news release lists the districts that would be most affected.
Under this forecast, President Trump would have won the 2024 Electoral College 322-216.
And even if Kamala had won PA, WI, and MI– President Trump still would have won 280-258.
This the one and only reason Democrats are fighting so hard to stop illegals from being deported… https://t.co/rYzo2BN4cp
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) January 27, 2026
This data is terrible news for Democrats made worse by the fact that the migration of residents from blue states to red or purple states shows no signs of slowing.
According to data released by the National Taxpayers Union Foundation two months ago, every 1 minute and 44 seconds, a taxpayer leaves California. For New York and Illinois, the times are 2 minutes and 23 seconds and 6 minutes and 4 seconds, respectively. These states are hemorrhaging residents.
Moreover, another taxpayer leaves Washington state every 29 minutes and 55 seconds. Despite the absence of a state income tax for now (although one has been proposed), residents are voting with their feet, fleeing the Evergreen State’s steadily expanding tax and regulatory burden. Perhaps they’re also reacting to the openly socialist mayor Seattle voters chose to elect in November.
These taxpayers are relocating to states with far more hospitable tax and regulatory climates — such as Florida, Texas, and North Carolina — which welcome a new resident every 2 minutes and 9 seconds, 2 minutes and 53 seconds, and 6 minutes and 21 seconds, respectively.
A news release accompanying the data noted, “In short, interstate movement isn’t just a series of arrows in different directions, it’s proof that Americans want lower taxes and limited government — and you can measure it with your watch.”
Perhaps Americans also looking for some sanity and honesty from their public servants.
If I were a Minnesota resident right now, I’d be strongly considering selling my home — and it’s hard to believe many others aren’t doing the same.
State and local leaders are currently locked in a desperate fight with the federal government to stop them from deporting illegal aliens — even those who have committed serious crimes. Although any reasonable person would celebrate the removal of criminals from their city or state, Democrats in Minnesota, as well as the outside agitators who have converged upon the state in the last month, are fighting tooth and nail to keep them there.
Why? Because Jonathan Fahey was right when he said, “Democrats fight each deportation as if it’s a Democratic vote.” Because, at least in the blue states that don’t require photo identification at the ballot box, that’s a true statement.
Elizabeth writes commentary for Legal Insurrection and The Washington Examiner. She is an academy fellow at The Heritage Foundation. Please follow Elizabeth on X or LinkedIn.